How Crowdsourcing Accurately and Robustly Predicts Supreme Court Decisions

Wednesday, February 21, 2018

12:45 pm

Stanford Law School, Room 180

Sponsored by:
Codex: The Stanford Center for Legal Informatics

Scholars have increasingly investigated “crowdsourcing” as an alternative to expert-based judgment or purely data-driven approaches to predicting the future. Under certain conditions, scholars have found that crowdsourcing can outperform these other approaches. However, despite interest in the topic and a series of successful use cases, relatively few studies have applied empirical model thinking to evaluate the accuracy and robustness of crowdsourcing in real-world contexts. Our presenter, Daniel Martin Katz, reviews findings from a recent paper he co-authored with Michael Bommarito and Josh Blackman; to their knowledge, this dataset and analysis represent one of the largest explorations of recurring human prediction to date, providing additional empirical support for the use of crowdsourcing as a prediction method.

Wednesday, February 21, 2018
12:45 pm – 02:00 pm
Stanford Law School, Room 180

This event is free and open to the public. Lunch will be provided. Register here.


Lecture / Reading 

General Public, Faculty/Staff, Students, Alumni/Friends
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