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X-WR-CALNAME:CEE PhD Defense - Tess Hegarty\, "Probabilistic Life Cycle Ana
 lysis as a Sustainability-Focused Design Tool for Industrialized Construct
 ion"
X-WR-TIMEZONE:Pacific Time (US & Canada)
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTAMP:20260814T003038Z
UID:tag:localist.com\,2008:EventInstance_49586732056941
DTSTART:20250512T203000Z
DTEND:20250512T213000Z
DESCRIPTION:Abstract: Between now and 2060\, the world needs to add about 6
  billion square meters of new floor area annually to keep pace with popula
 tion projections. This is equivalent to constructing one New York City eve
 ry month. The carbon emissions associated with this construction are a maj
 or driver of climate change. This dissertation develops a probabilistic Li
 fe Cycle Analysis (pLCA) framework to quantify how industrialized construc
 tion (IC) influences both the mean and standard deviation of total life-cy
 cle impacts of buildings. Using SIPMath for Monte Carlo simulation\, this 
 work analyzes and compares buildings with varying industrialization levels
 . Probabilistic LCA results demonstrate that increased industrialization r
 educes both life-cycle carbon impacts and their uncertainty\, and identifi
 es which structural markers of industrialized construction are driving the
 se improvements. Additional analysis illustrates that deterministic method
 s systematically overstate designers’ confidence in meeting sustainabili
 ty targets. When uncertainty is incorporated into sustainable target value
  (STV) design\, the probability of successfully meeting a target can be ex
 plicitly quantified\, a significant advantage over the binary pass/fail ap
 proach associated with deterministic results. The findings advance uncerta
 inty quantification and visualization methods in sustainability assessment
  and provide evidence-based insights into IC's environmental benefits\, en
 abling more risk-aware approaches to sustainable building design.
GEO:37.42816;-122.175935
LOCATION:Y2E2 Building\, 365
SUMMARY:CEE PhD Defense - Tess Hegarty\, "Probabilistic Life Cycle Analysis
  as a Sustainability-Focused Design Tool for Industrialized Construction"
URL;VALUE=URI:https://events.stanford.edu/event/cee-phd-defense-tess-hegart
 y-probabilistic-life-cycle-analysis-as-a-sustainability-focused-design-too
 l-for-industrialized-construction
CATEGORIES:PhD Defense
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